T8's response.
T8, you've captured my dilemma in that picture! I've been lusting after silver 996TTs for a year now. I regret not buying then when a decent manual example was £25K. Now the bottom end for a good one looks to be £30K.
I think you're right and I sympathise with your dilemma. I paid £29,995 21 months ago for a 2004 car with 48k miles. A similar car would cost at least 10% more today.
I can't reconcile myself to buy in at £30-32K when early 997TTs have broken below the £40K barrier. So these are my thoughts:
If I was considering buying one or the other today I'd have similar thoughts. Be aware though, I didn't find a 997T on the market for under £40k that I would consider buying.
Can the 996 price really overtake the 997? If so I'll hang on for a 997!
As I said before, I don't think this will happen for a few years.
Or are 997 owners thanking their lucky stars that 996 prices have risen 20% because I can only assume that will slow or halt 997 depreciation?
The rise in values of 996Ts has slowed the depreciation of 997Ts.
Having said that, 997 owners will almost universally be sitting on a whack of depreciation right now whereas 996 owners are seeing prices rise.
I'm not sure that's right. If 996T prices continue to rise I think (and obviously, hope) that 997T values will hold.
I've no idea about production numbers or the 'cool' of having the first air cooled 911, but I wonder whether prices hold meaning 997s are close to their floor level or whether an inevitable increase of 997s on the market this summer and next may resettle 996 prices back by 10% or so.
By virtue of the fact that they were produced for 5 years instead of 2.5 there are probably more 996Ts out there than Mezger engined 997Ts.
My view was/is that it's the Mezger engine that's driving 996T values back up. The 997T was the last of the Mezgers - ergo - it will also become sought after.
Either way I've missed the boat for now and don't have £40K to chuck around on a 997 that may still be going south on value.
In the same way that a good 996T represents excellent value for money at £30k a good 997T is the same for £40k. I don't think either will depreciate much.
What doesn't help is that as the 997 becomes more affordable, I'm starting to see it in an altogether more positive light. If they were to hit £35K I'd become extremely tempted!
If it came to a choice between a late, low mileage 996T and an average mileage early 997T for the same money you'd need to drive both to see which suited you. After driving 200 miles in each over the last 3 days it's a 'no-brainer'.