A bit of a BB`s personal perspective ramble on values over time..
Yeah for me the C4S GTS would be my pick of the 991.1 Harry, I just had to settle for a C4S in a blue hue, with my preferred silver wheels...
At the time I bought my C4S circa 3 years ago (2012- 2013MY) with perhaps 42k miles on the clock and looking as new, with multiple owners (as seems to be the way off it these days) I paid circa £65k by the time I took on 3 years price protection
Insurance and had Autoglym Lifeshine applied and had it delivered from a couple of hundred miles distant when Covid was still a thing. I never viewed my car in the metal prior to paying for it in full though I did view it is some detail via a dealer supplied vid of underside with trays removed and the deal being recorded via email, with a 6 month warranty from an official (Porsche related) BMW franchise...I guess other than tax and classic
Insurance, it perhaps owes me £73k... What are the chances of achieving anything like that in today`s market...! Fortunately I knew I was buying in a hot market and it`s value was bound to drop in time, thus in no way was it it bought as any kind of investment and currently have no need or want to part with it, though I do tend to favour air cooled, more related to the time I was at peak Porsche, so nostalgia may play more a part in that line of thought than practicality..? (-: The recently posted circa £120k 911 SC with supposedly next to no mileage, might have tempted me had a straight swap been a possibility, but if in any way possible, I think the C4S perhaps better suits the old man I have become....These days my spanners gather dust, and depend upon my OPC to look after maintenance issues as the extended warranty seems to dictate.
Being of the baby boomer cohort, my values in terms of classic vehicles are likely to be more centred around my own past desires and experiences as a hands-on restorer of my own old sports cars over the decades, which I am happy to share... up to a point.. (-:
I have typed previously of a view that I have held for quite a few years, that the classic car market is perhaps driven by generational ideals, and it seems to me that the baby boomers (BB`s) on average were perhaps the generation who first experienced a measure of disposable income, whereas their parents had come through the austerity of the war years and beyond well into the 60`s..? The effect of BB`s having disposable income seems to have equated to an exponential interest in what up till that time had been regarded as old bangers, many of which had been parked up during and soon after the war, the introduction of the MOT (1960) left some former old runners also being parked up as their owners thought them too good to scrap, and that they might get round to sorting whatever the issue was in time, it seems many never did. There were ever those who were happy enough to have a go at repairing old cars as a basic form of transport, I was one such... My source of learning mechanical matters was initially Motorcycle Mechanics mag, followed on by Car Mechanics when I bought my first four wheeled rot box, a 1959 Frogeye Sprite... (-:
As the seventies arrived it seems that the car press had noticed the growing uptake in interest in old cars amongst the general population, thus circa 1972 Classic Car magazine appeared on the news stands, I bought the first and subsequent issues over a couple of decades. Classic Car was followed on by Classic and Sports car, and it seemed that which the man in the street had formerly classified as old bangers, had become Classics with investment potential, so much so that a whole industry in re manufacturing formerly unavailable parts grew and grew over the decades, and with it businesses specialising in restoring vehicles that had become regarded as Classics, with specialists in many marques all leading towards that which it has become today.. Thus it seems much of the now Classic market was driven by BB`s disposable incomes, which grew and grew as their kids left the nest ( Yeah they did that once) and mortgages were paid off,creating a situation whereby BB`s in their late 40`s to 60`s could Invest/indulge in ever more man maths re the acquisition of classics, if that was their thing, perhaps more so if avoiding inheritance tax might induce those with cash enough to then create a collection of classics...?
The financial opportunities for generations following on behind the BB`s differed greatly from that of their parents and or grandparents..? Those subsequent generations were subjected to the drug of easy money, thus their lifestyle choices were expanded greatly, which of course affected the market in whatever they might regard as Classics, and all else. It seems likely that some BB`s may have sucked into the easy money deals, with remortgages and all else that maintains momentum in the giant moneygoround...?
All good...? Unfortunately BB`s are increasingly loosing their grip on the perch and are now of an age that seem logically to affect the market value of Classics in general, as BB`s financial well being may have been diminished somewhat in the passage of time, perhaps by acting as the Bank of Mum& Dad in a variety of ways over a decade or more.... Perhaps BB`spensions and "investments" so related may not be performing as hoped etc, etc...? The story seems well told in the TV prog.. Bangers and Cash, where many an old codger like myself, or their widows may have a garage full of memorabilia or one or two classics which he has spent money on over decades, thought to perhaps act as a hedge on inflation at whatever time it might seem wise to cash it in...?
Given the logical arrival of a time when the older or less healthy BB`s were dropping off the perch, perhaps began to show it`s face less than a decade back, though as ever the general public are perhaps slow to recognise and slower to react to change in general...? Covid perhaps acted as a turbo boost in values of Porsches and the classics more favoured by younger generational groups such as fast Fords, I suspect far less so in terms of classics that the BB`s may have favoured ...However that the Covid effect has now gone and the primary market effects seems to now be, not only the influence of BB`s, but also by the easy money years seemingly confined to history,(at least for a while) also to some degree by the recent UK budget, thinking of the knock on effect of EV driven legislation, E10 fuel complications for classics in general and relating to air cooled Porsches, the Russian war, and food /goods transportation costs re the Suez route complications, many of which may affect household finances in general, thus a considerable number of possible issues piling up to affect the markets not only in Classics but so much more...it is what it is... Shrug.
If you think the BB`s may not have much of an effect on the Porsche market, A quick look through the images and stories in Porsche Post, the magazine of the PCGB, seems to include rather a lot of grey hair...? If you wander around other Classic forums likely to have even more BB`s in their membership, they tend to report the sad passing of increasing numbers of their membership with articles or chat relative to the falling of the cliff of market values of their classics..? it seems they too may be increasingly frustrated by the devaluation of their classics, more so of the type once thought to have rock solid investment values ad infinitum..?
As I typed above my C4S has had multiple owners, these days that may be the norm, perhaps brought about by easy money and motor trade deals of many kinds to open short term ownership of vehicles to those who otherwise may not have had the wherewithal to previously afford such machines..? Whether the number of owners might be thought to be a good thing is oft times discussed, in the case of my C4S it`s service history and condition overall,at the time of purchase It seems still to look as good as new, to then be subjected to the 111 point OPC checks before being accepted on to the Porsche extended warranty..
Whatever, the market and it`s values were what they were, and now are what they are in terms of investments, as ever the warning is that the value thereof can both rise and fall... Just a pity for those who may have borrowed money for vehicles and may be under pressure to sell while in a negative equity situation...
Harry, if you have read this far what market value might you or anyone else attribute to my 48K C4S, in it`s lovely shade of Aqua blue metallic with my preferred silver wheels making the red of the callipers seem to stand out all the more. To my eyes it still looks as good as new, and has a full OPC history with a just added additional 3 years of Porsche extended warranty
Insurance... It has most of the extras other than 15 way seats or the dash mounted stop watch.
Worry not on predicted values as I am not selling and I can deal with reality.... I think...(-: