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BBC TV "Fast bucks: how Porsche made billions"

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Porsche is world famous for its iconic sports cars.

But car manufacturing isn't the only thing the company is good at.

Last year it made six times as much on the stock market as it did making cars.

Industry insiders are only half joking when they call it a hedge fund with a carmaker attached.

Porsche says its stock market trades are only for one reason: to take it towards its long term goal, the takeover of car making giant, Volkswagen.

In October 2008, Porsche's takeover moves triggered an unprecedented stock market squeeze when it suddenly revealed it owned or had positions on more than 74% of Volkswagen shares.

The value of Volkswagen stock rocketed to more than 1,000 euros, briefly making it the most valuable company in the world.

Hedge funds, who had gambled that the value of Volkswagen shares would fall are said to have lost between 10bn and 40bn euros.

Porsche denies any wrongdoing and says that it made no profit from the squeeze, but some hedge funds are crying foul.

Now the German financial regulator, BaFin, is conducting an investigation into what it calls "suspected market abuse."

vw_107.jpg


The back story

The stories of Porsche and Volkswagen have long been intertwined.

Ferdinand Porsche designed the iconic Volkswagen Beetle in the 1930s, a car that became an emblem of Germany's economic success throughout the world.

He then founded his own company, which became famous for making superfast sports cars.

The Porsche family still owns the company their grandfather founded and now wants to own Volkswagen itself, a company 14 times the size of Porsche.

Volkswagen owns some of the biggest names in European motoring; Seat, Audi, Lamborghini, Bugatti and Bentley.

The personalities

The recession of the early 1990s hit Porsche hard and some questioned if the company would survive.

Then, in 1993, Wendelin Wiedeking was appointed chief executive.

Together with chief financial officer Holger Haerter they are credited with turning the company around.

"Wiedeking took the decisions, the risky decisions, to come up with new models," says Arndt Ellinghorst, head of European automotive research at Credit Suisse.

They also slashed production costs, but most importantly, Mr Haerter used Porsche's cash to enter the financial markets.

He had little experience of car making, but he did bring expertise in investment management.

Through currency hedging he developed a mastery of the markets that he eventually turned towards Porsche's end goal; the take over of Volkswagen.

"Porsche does not have the research and development budget to come up with really the key innovations of the industry," says Mr Ellinghorst.

A takeover of Volkswagen would mean access to its huge production facilities, its technology and,most importantly, its cash.

VW Law

In 2005, Porsche quietly started to increase its stake in Volkswagen.

By September 2008 it had acquired 35.14% of Volkswagen shares.

Whilst Porsche stated publicly its long term goal was a takeover, insiders knew this goal was stymied by a peculiar anomaly: the VW Law.

The VW Law essentially protects Volkswagen from hostile take over.

It means that an 80% majority is needed to make "significant decisions" at annual meetings.

This gives the local state government of Lower Saxony, owning 20.1% of the shares, a blocking majority.

Porsche needs to overturn this law before it can reach its ambitious goal.

It is applying the pressure on both the EU and the German government to do this.

While the VW Law is still in place there is consensus among market insiders that there is little point in Porsche increasing its stake in Volkswagen, but sometimes things are not quite what they seem.

Short selling

By July 2008 the credit crunch was hitting the car industry hard and car company share values were plummeting around the world.

But Volkswagen's were remaining stubbornly high.

Hedge fund managers calculated that Volkswagen shares could not remain so high indefinitely and believed there was an opportunity to make some cash by short selling the shares - borrowing Volkswagen shares off a third party in the expectation that the price would fall so they would be able to buy them back cheaper, later and pocketing the difference.

Volkswagen shares became some of the most "shorted" stocks in Europe.

But despite the downturn, by the end of the summer it was clear there was something peculiar about Volkswagen shares.

The price was not dropping and the reason was about to be revealed.

The bombshell

On Sunday 26 October 2008, Porsche dropped a bombshell.

It announced it had increased its stake in Volkswagen to 42.6% and held cash settled options on a further 31.5% - meaning it had positions on up to 74.1% of all Volkswagen shares.

It seemed it had effectively cornered the market and short sellers who needed to buy back shares to close their positions were forced to fight over the remaining available stock.

How did it happen?

Porsche was able to build its secret holding by using financial instruments called cash settled call options.

Call options essentially give the buyer the option to buy shares at a competitive price at a future fixed date.

A cash settled call option enables the buyer to either take delivery of the share, or the difference between the strike price agreed when the option was bought and the market price when deal is settled.

The buyer can then use this money to purchase the share on the open market.

Porsche proved to be masters at this type of transaction, which, as long as it got the bets right and Volkswagen prices continued to rise, let it buy Volkswagen shares at favourable prices.

In the UK, any increase in share holdings to more than a 30% stake in a company has to be disclosed, whether you do it through cash settled call options or not.

This is not the case in Germany and this enabled Porsche to build up its position in secret.

Winners and Losers

Investors who were caught short have questioned Porsche's behaviour and the timing of its announcement of its secret positions in Volkswagen shares.

This is now being investigated by the German regulator, BaFin.

Porsche deny all wrongdoing and says its strategy was driven by its goal of taking over Volkswagen, not the wish to make profits from financial speculation.

It says it has invested the profits it made from the squeeze into purchasing more Volkswagen shares outright.

Fast Bucks: How Porsche made Billions, 19.30 Thursday 22 January 2009.
BBC Money Programme


http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7843262.stm
 

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911uk News said:
Porsche denies any wrongdoing and says that it made no profit from the squeeze, but some hedge funds are crying foul.
:hand:

Analysts at Commerzbank and Merck Finck estimated Porsche's strike price on its cash-settled hedges were around 100 euros per share, meaning Porsche could make 5.9 billion euros from selling 5 percent of its call options at a price of 500 euros
 
Yes - BUT - they haven't sold any shares, although they could done so to make a quick buck, the shares were bought to keep, so Porsche is an investor, not a trader.....

Funny thing is if one of those traders had made billions by correctly guessing which way the market is going (like they did on every single UK bank) that is fair trade and business as usual, but for once they lost out so they want an investigation....

LOJO
 
BBC2@7:30pm -How Porsche made billions in the stock market

How Porsche made Billions


On today - Thursday, 22nd Jan @ 1930.

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Programme Summary:
Over two astonishing days in October 2008 one of the most amazing stories of the downturn emerged. Porsche, the luxury sports car manufacturer, was revealed as the force behind an audacious takeover bid for Volkswagen.

The price of Volkswagen shares rocketed fivefold, and it briefly became the most valuable company on the planet. And hedge funds that had been betting on VW shares falling in the downturn found themselves staring at losses that ran into billions of pounds.

Now the German authorities are investigating. It has been alleged that the much smaller German car maker Porsche manipulated the market, made a fortune and ended up potentially taking over its rival.

Porsche insists it has done nothing wrong. But for years it has quietly stalked its larger rival, buying up VW shares in a creeping takeover and making vast profits in dealings on those shares. It has been highly effective: last year it made four times as much money from share trading than from making its iconic sports cars.

The Money Programme's Max Flint travels to Germany to investigate how Porsche became so expert in playing the market and how it could end up with the biggest prize of all: control of its rival.

*******************

If you've been on another planet while this happened, catch up here:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7843262.stm
 
good to see lots of clips of a 993 in the show....... :thumbs:
 
Didn't see it....worth catching on the iPlayer (if it's available) :?:
 
LOJO said:
Yes - BUT - they haven't sold any shares, although they could done so to make a quick buck, the shares were bought to keep, so Porsche is an investor, not a trader.....

Looks like they did sell shares and 6.9 billion euro's worth to be exact. But seems they saying that they 'didn't really want to sell' but did so to help out all the hedge funds that had sold short.

Now lets sit back and wait to see what their internal emails throw up when Porsche are investigated by the regulators :popcorn:
 
Sounds very interesting, I've been following this story a little in the news but missed the programme last night. Does anyone know if it will be repeated?
 
IMO a serious case of kettle calling the pot black. Betting is betting although this really is just another way to insider trade.

BUT has it made Porsche too arrogant or disincentivised against its grass roots. Put another way has it made it even more of a mass-market car producer.

If they really wanted to be heros a la Robin Hood they should reduce margins on cars, at the same time this would compound/end weaker competitors ultimately having a free reign with VAG & Porsche products.
 
My understanding is that Porsche caused the panic (and the share price to rise to over 1,000 euros) by announcing to the press that they held options on 74% of the VW shares. The regulators will want to know if this was a mistake by one person at Porsche or and was it Porsche trying to manipulate the market
 
Great programme, very interesting stuff. I say good on them. As others had said, the Hedge Funds were just beaten at their own game.
 
I thought that the programme was actually quite amusing. Particularly the clearly embittered fund manager who looked like he hadn't slept for a week hoping that the Americans would kick off a legal stink...

The whole thing just highlights what a bunch of cowboys the hedge funds are though. Porsche has been quite relentlessly buying up VW shares for quite some time now (it is widely known that they made a big slab of cash on them the preceding year too). They have clearly stated that their objective is ultimately to buy VW outright.

So the market is in decline and car shares are falling - except VW. The hedge fund people conclude that everything else is going down, so VW must be overpriced and start shorting without actually considering WHY VW is not going down. If extensive selling doesn't drive down the price of the shares then the only logical conclusion is that someone is buying them.

However, even though the press worked this out - the fund managers didn't. So Porsche's stake rose, the supply of available shares dwindled and all of the high stakes gamblers lost their bets because they worked on flawed assumption and arrogance rather than the rules of the game. Eventually, Porsche pointed out how small the amount of shares that they didn't effectively control was and the hedges went into an almighty panic due to the consequent failure of their attempt to drive the stock down by shorting.

No sympathy 8)
 

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